BRIDGETOWN, Barbados, CMC – The Barbados-based Caribbean Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH) is warning the region that recent heavy rains could continue into December and pose a risk of flooding during one of the happiest seasons of the year.
“This year, flooding is a greater risk in December than in other years,” CIMH climatologist Cédric Van Meerbeeck told the Caribbean Media Corporation (CMC) of the regional outlook for the dry season, which begins on May 1. december.
“I’m not saying there’s going to be flooding in your area, but what I’m saying is keep checking your country’s weather reports to make sure this doesn’t happen to you, without you. know.”
Speaking to CMC at the Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF), which is taking place in Barbados, Van Meerbeeck warned that while Christmas is traditionally a time when people like to think of joyful things and “might not always give so much pay attention to the weather as we normally do during hurricane season, for example, heavy rains in December are not uncommon.
He recalled that in 2013, the Christmas Eve floods caused death and destruction in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Saint Lucia.
Van Meerbeeck said no major droughts are forecast for any part of the region during the next dry season.
“It’s a positive point but, on the other hand, we are coming out of the rainy season with soils that in many places are quite soggy. So that means that if in the next few weeks we get a lot of rain, even if we enter the dry season, we could still see flash floods wherever these extreme rainfall events occur,” he explained.
He said the highest risk is in the Guianas and the southern islands.
“So in the ABC islands of Aruba, Curacao, Bonaire, Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada, Barbados, and less and less as you go further north.”
The climatologist said the globe is experiencing La Nina – a weather event where surface temperatures or ocean temperatures in the Pacific are colder than usual – which tends to “influence our weather patterns on a seasonal scale here. ”.
He noted that during La Nina, the Caribbean typically experiences wetter years as well as a stronger final portion of hurricane season.
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